Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.665371 6.200920 6.804837 7.545505 8.442814 9.513431 10.918120
2025-01-05 4.948395 5.625504 6.446232 7.543717 9.024134 11.041304 14.191837
2025-01-12 4.309764 5.023536 5.932166 7.225422 9.122116 12.018480 17.389854
2025-01-19 3.802710 4.513039 5.450465 6.850280 9.048253 12.761758 20.961014
2025-01-26 3.633734 4.417645 5.504397 7.242593 10.272355 16.350017 35.662304
2025-02-02 3.605173 4.506481 5.831135 8.141615 12.796831 25.187930 132.040842
2025-02-09 3.469150 4.423597 5.887854 8.620595 14.862255 37.430483 NaN
2025-02-16 3.316038 4.295817 5.852236 8.929490 16.832653 58.261685 NaN
2025-02-23 3.157201 4.140955 5.747567 9.079487 18.590924 97.803007 NaN
2025-03-02 2.933496 3.863387 5.396206 8.627755 18.214067 117.845921 NaN
2025-03-09 2.782530 3.689602 5.208163 8.500202 18.952341 202.405288 NaN
2025-03-16 2.609943 3.468246 4.912288 8.071194 18.331762 247.280623 NaN
2025-03-23 2.496317 3.350095 4.819538 8.172936 20.360186 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.380928 3.220551 4.692474 8.172283 22.174507 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.238242 3.035529 4.441902 7.807164 21.855569 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.102544 2.854309 4.183467 7.378536 20.906959 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.066561 2.839562 4.246043 7.828192 26.248651 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.076265 2.904108 4.476736 8.868189 42.132208 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.041182 2.886208 4.535139 9.428285 61.582294 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.994052 2.842488 4.532003 9.791726 89.779226 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.939411 2.780776 4.481138 9.968932 129.032619 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.851510 2.651933 4.265208 9.437488 113.703046 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.790198 2.569831 4.150122 9.288158 130.908594 NaN NaN